What if your building produced more energy than it used?

Posted on

Dr Maurizio Sibilla and Dr Ghada Karaki

Look around your city. Almost every building you see was designed for an energy world that is rapidly becoming outdated — one powered by fossil fuels, centralised power stations, and passive consumption. What if those same buildings could instead produce, share and manage clean energy?

We are living through a shift in how we think about energy – one that goes far beyond simply swapping fossil fuels for renewables. Three powerful forces will shape the future of our energy systems: decarbonisation, decentralisation, and digitalisation. But here’s the challenge: these forces must take root in cities that were never designed for them. Our urban landscapes are shaped by centuries of physical developments, buildings are renovated far too slowly, and the old ways of producing, distributing, and consuming energy remain deeply entrenched.

An innovative strand of work at CABER sits at the heart of this tension. It explores how cleaner, smarter and more localised energy systems can be integrated into our existing cities, transforming buildings and neighbourhoods from passive consumers into active participants in a sustainable energy future.

The shift – one building at the time isn’t enough

One building can save energy; a whole block (i.e., an aggregation of buildings) can begin to transform the energy system around it. This is why working one building at a time is no longer enough. Across Europe, three out of four buildings predate modern energy standards, yet the annual renovation rate remains barely 1%.. In England alone, more than half of homes still have an energy-efficiency rating of D or below, while fewer than one in 300 has reached the highest rating. The Climate Change Committee and the United Nations have both warned that the building sector is falling dangerously behind on our climate commitments.

The problem is not just speed – it is scale.

Neighbouring buildings have very different strengths and weaknesses: one may have a large sunny roof ideal for solar panels, another may be shaded or constrained by age, form or heritage protections. If we treat them separately, these differences become barriers. If we work at the block scale, they become opportunities.

A Positive Energy Block is a group of at least three connected buildings that together produce more energy than they consume.

Positive Energy Block allows energy demand, retrofit measures, solar generation, and future energy sharing to be planned as part of one local system, where one building’s surplus can compensate for a neighbour’s limitations. Blocks offer a practical middle ground: larger than a single building that lacks an infrastructural vision, faster and more flexible than the years of planning and investment that whole-district transformation demands.

Thus, Positive Energy Block brings together the technical and socio-economic changes we need for a low-carbon society. Instead of pouring money into ever-larger, centralised infrastructure, it focuses investment on micro-scale, neighbourhood-level solutions. In doing so, it links decarbonisation with renovation of existing buildings and the creation of new local energy market

models (i.e., peer-to-peer energy trading) – turning blocks of buildings and communities into active participants in the energy transition.

Stakeholders’ perceptions

Through the AHRC Impact Acceleration Account 26-27, between July and September 2026, we engaged a diverse group of stakeholders in a knowledge-exchange process. This enabled us to explore the relationships between their current activities and the potential applications of the proposed model and vision.

The stakeholder group included construction professionals, specialists in building and energy retrofitting, community energy practitioners, local authority representatives, and architectural and planning practices. We invited participants to reflect on the relevance, applicability, and potential value of the proposed approach. In particular, we asked questions such as:

· What is your initial reaction to the idea of building blocks?

· In which contexts or situations do you think the Positive Energy Block concept would be most relevant or valuable?

The concept of the Positive Energy Block was very well received and considered particularly applicable to the low- and medium-density contexts characteristic of villages across the United Kingdom. Stakeholders also recognised its potential to support locally responsive approaches to energy generation, efficiency, retrofit, and community resilience in these settings. This engagement provided valuable insights into how the model might be interpreted, adapted, and implemented across different professional and institutional contexts.

Scaling Positive Energy Blocks

As a part of the AHRC Impact Acceleration Account project, the next step will be to involve these stakeholders in a workshop to be held at the Design West in Bristol (TBC) by February 2027. The session will provide an opportunity to share our research on the methods and tools required to implement the Positive Energy Block model in practice, while also gathering stakeholders feedback on its potential applications and development.

We will present the prospective capabilities of an AI-powered energy planning tool for Positive Energy Block. This represents a new strand of research being developed through collaboration between CABER and UWE’s Machine Vision research centre.

The workshop will test whether the tool addresses real professional and policy needs, identify barriers to implementation, and shape its future development around the experience of practitioners and other stakeholders. In doing so, It strengthens the pathway from research and innovation to practical action in energy planning, building retrofit and positive-energy urban development, helping move Positive Energy Block from an ambitious concept towards a workable model for existing communities.

Positive Energy Block Pathway. The diagram illustrates a three-step process: assessing each building’s solar access, solar potential, and energy-efficiency gap; establishing and testing a shared energy target; and coordinating buildings aggregations to generate and share renewable energy as a positive energy block. (AI-generated image, adapted by M. Sibilla).

Positive Energy Block Pathway. The diagram illustrates a three-step process: assessing each building’s solar access, solar potential, and energy-efficiency gap; establishing and testing a shared energy target; and coordinating buildings aggregations to generate and share renewable energy as a positive energy block. (AI-generated image,  adapted by M. Sibilla).

Acknowledgments

A special thanks to: Jack Allen (Building Energy Experts); Charles Bradshaw-Smith (Smart Klub); James Herincx (Bristol City Leap); Gerald Charles (Principal Net Zero Consultant at AtkinsRéalis); Isabella Bhoan (Landscape Lead – WW+P architects London); Phil Partridge (Value Optimised Retrofit Group); Jon Sankey (Vattenfall); Rich Green (West of England Combined Authority); Paul Kearsley (Emersons Green Town Council and director of ELCOE local not-for-profit helping the community transition to clean, green energy); Gordon Brown, GBSPM; Mark Letcher, southglos

Contact: Dr Maurizio Sibilla Maurizio.sibilla@uwe.ac.uk

Reading

Sibilla, M., & Karaki, G. (2025). A decision-making framework for early-stage design of positive energy blocks. Architectural Science Review, 1–16. https://doi.org/10.1080/00038628.2025.2502471

Sibilla, M., & Karaki, G. (2026). Exploring positive energy block potentials: A parametric analysis approach. In Net Zero Transition in Buildings (pp. 501–521). Elsevier. https://doi.org/10.1016/B978-0-443-34164-9.00014-9

Sibilla, M., & Arslan, M. (2026). Navigating policy challenges in peer-to-peer energy trading. In Net Zero Transition in Buildings (pp. 523–545). Elsevier. https://doi.org/10.1016/B978-0-443-34164-9.00007-1

New paper identifies key areas for future retrofit research

Posted on

Authors: Freya Wise and Alice Moncaster

We’re very pleased that our latest paper has been published in Applied Energy and is now freely available at https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apenergy.2026.128895

Around the world, our existing buildings need retrofitting to reduce their energy and associated carbon emissions and make them fit for the future. Building retrofit is therefore a critical activity for both climate change mitigation and adaption. Almost three years ago, in November 2023, Alice Moncaster and I decided to conduct a systematic literature review of the global, quantitative, academic literature on retrofit. This was partly in response to a question during the creation of the UK Net Zero Carbon Building Standard1, something like: ‘what do we know about the embodied carbon impacts of retrofit?’

As we started by investigating previous reviews in this field, we realised that there would actually be significant value in going back a step and creating a comprehensive, systematic mapping review of the trends and gaps in the broader field of building retrofit for energy and carbon reduction.

What did we do?

Our initial search terms produced 9,334 across, Science Direct, Scopus and JSTOR, which we narrowed down to a mere 1,408 for further review, focussing on peer-reviewed journal articles published between 2017-2024 (this involved a second search stage in January 2025 to update the review to all papers in published in 2024).

Our final dataset2 included 1,058 papers and we used detailed thematic analysis to assess the abstracts of these papers to identify topics, methods, types of retrofit and other aspects, and bibliometric network analysis to identify keyword and author clusters.

What did we find?

The research was published in 192 journals in multiple fields and covered 96 countries, although there was a strong research focus in Europe and China and a dearth of research in parts of Africa and in Oceania (Figure 1). Italy (110), China (105), the UK (81) and Spain (77) were the most researched countries. More research is therefore needed in under-examined areas and climates as the most suitable retrofits vary across regions.

Figure 1: Bubble graph plotting the number of papers per million of population per country.

Alongside the need for more research in certain regions, we found three key gaps where further research is needed.

1. Just less than a third of papers considered embodied or lifecycle carbon, with the majority only focussing on the operational phase. Concerningly, this percentage didn’t meaningfully increase over the studied period (Figure 2). Neglecting embodied carbon means that the carbon cost is not considered and retrofits may actually be using more carbon than they save, or at least not making optimal savings. More retrofit studies should therefore include embodied carbon in a full lifecycle assessment.

2. Only around 10% of the papers examined the performance of retrofits in real life. The other 90% were based on modelling and simulation, which is concerning given the well-known performance gap between predicted and actual retrofit outcomes3. More studies of real world retrofit performance and comparison with and calibration of models is therefore critical to ensure that real savings are achieved.

3. Most importantly, after this summer of global heatwaves, 98% of studies examine retrofit using past climate data. Only 2% of papers considered the effects of future climate conditions on retrofit performance. These studies identified that considering future conditions affected the most suitable retrofits to create carbon savings and make buildings fit for purpose in a changing climate. It is therefore vital that studies stop relying on historic data and start designing retrofit in response to predicted future conditions.

To explore all these findings and all the details please enjoy the full paper from: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apenergy.2026.128895

We hope that this paper and the accompanying dataset of papers will inform and inspire new, targeted research in these critical areas.

References

1. UK Net Zero Carbon Building Standard https://www.nzcbuildings.co.uk

2. Full dataset of the analysed papers available at: 10.5255/UKDA-SN-857925

3. Preprint of our paper on energy modelling for heritage buildings which discussed the performance gap http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.7536546

Follow this blog

Get every new post delivered right to your inbox.